数字预测
语言:英语
地区:美国
年份:2018
演员:Billy / Bane / Greg / Carbin / Mona / Chalabi / Richard / De / Veaux / Keith / Devlin / Jordan / Ellenberg / Brian / Fleming / Rebecca / Goldin / Patrick / Murray / Regina / Nuzzo / 杰伊·桑德斯
导演:Daniel / McCabe
简介:Predictionsunderlienearlyeveryaspectofourlives,fromsports,politics,andmedicaldecisionstothemorningcommute.Withtheexplosionofdigitaltechnology,theinternet,and“bigdata,”thescienceofforecastingisflourishing.Butwhydosomepredictionssucceedspectacularlywhileothersfailabysmally?Andhowcanwefindmeaningfulpatternsamidstchaosanduncertainty?FromtheglitzofcasinosandTVgameshowstothelife-and-deathstakesofstormforecastsandtheflawsofopinionpollsthatcanswinganelection,“PredictionbytheNumbers”exploresstoriesofstatisticsinaction.Yetadvancesinmachinelearningandbigdatamodelsthatincreasinglyruleourlivesarealsoposingbig,disturbingquestions.Howmuchshouldwetrustpredictionsmadebyalgorithmswhenwedon’tunderstandhowtheyarriveatthem?Andhowfaraheadcanwereallyforecast?